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Political conditions and currency crises in emerging markets
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Political Conditions and Currency Crises In Emerging Markets
Political conditions and currency crises in emerging markets
Scholarly Article
Jan 1, 2003
By: Block SA
Emerging Markets Review
287 - 309
Fletcher Faculty
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Steven Block
Abstract
Abstract
This article demonstrates the impact of structural political conditions on the likelihood of currency crises in emerging markets. Controlling for a standard and parsimonious set of macroeconomic variables, I find that: right-wing government is less conducive to currency crises; 'strong' governments (those with larger legislative majorities and those which face more fragmented legislative opposition) are also less vulnerable. Democracy also reduced the likelihood of currency crises in emerging markets; yet, in contrast to previous studies, this article does not find a significant impact of elections on the likelihood of currency crises. © 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Block, S. A. (2003). Political conditions and currency crises in emerging markets. Emerging Markets Review, 4(3), 287-309. doi:10.1016/S1566-0141(03)00041-4
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