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Political business cycle, democratization, and economic reform: The case of Africa
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Political Business Cycle, Democratization, and Economic Reform: The Case of Africa
Political business cycle, democratization, and economic reform: The case of Africa
Scholarly Article
Jan 1, 2002
By: Block SA
Journal of Development Economics
205 - 228
Fletcher Faculty
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Steven Block
Abstract
Abstract
This paper presents cross-country evidence that political business cycles are alive and well in the nascent democracies of the developing world. Africa provides fertile ground for the study of political business cycles. This paper uncovers systematic electorally timed interventions in five monetary and four fiscal policy variables in a panel of African countries. These findings are consistent with the predictions of rational opportunistic political business cycle theory. If Africa's increasingly frequent elections are associated with reversals of fiscal and monetary policy reform, there is a potential conflict between political and economic reform. © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
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Block, S. A. (2002). Political business cycle, democratization, and economic reform: The case of Africa. Journal of Development Economics, 67(1), 205-228. doi:10.1016/S0304-3878(01)00184-5
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