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Don’t Watch Opinion Polls to Predict Trump’s Fate. Watch the Stock Market.

Fellow Adam Goodman publishes op-ed in The Tampa Bay Times on the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The crystal ball for political pundits and activists, aggregated daily by, are the presidential polling numbers. They’re like TripAdvisor for travelers interested in a guided tour to a single destination: The White House.

This data, honed by habit and regurgitated as gospel, is used by pseudo prophets and oracles to forecast winners and losers. Trump’s up, Trump’s down. The Democrats can’t lose, the Democrats can’t win.

In reality, it just doesn’t matter.

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