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Addressing the Fletcher community at the ASEAN auditorium, the Armenian Foreign Minister explains how global and regional rivalries in the Caucasus have influenced Armenian foreign policymaking.

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Fletcher alum and the Foreign Minister of Armenia, Vartan Oskanian praised the School’s interdisciplinary curriculum for preparing him to participate in the Armenian state building process during the chaotic, indescribably challenging aftermath of the collapse of the USSR in the Caucasus. He observed that because ethnic conflicts, uneven distribution of wealth, particularly oil, superpower rivalry in the region, and underdeveloped economies make the Caucasus inherently unstable, Armenia has sought to reconcile pursuing its national interests with regional peace and stability by adopting the notion of complementarity-- refusing to choose between different sides, powers, and interests; resolution of the Nagorny Karabakh dispute with Azerbaijan, and improving relations with Turkey.

Characterizing the Nagorny Karabakh conflict as a struggle for self determination, Oskanian noted that at present the international community, particularly the European institutions mandated to mediate between the parties, resists the breakup of a state when a secessionist group within the territory of the state seeks to exercise its right of self determination. In case of Nagorny Karabakh, the mediators have so far been looking for a peaceful resolution that would retain the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan while guaranteeing the Armenians in Nagorny Karabakh political, civil, and human rights. But, these efforts are doomed to fail, because Armenians in Nagorny Karabakh have already secured and sustained such rights for seven years after the 1994 ceasefire. The Armenian Foreign Minister also argued that finding a peaceful resolution to the conflict has become more difficult when Turkey acts as Azerbaijan’s big uncle and provides blanket support for Azerbaijan’s claims. Yet, he assured the audience that contrary to the belief widely held in Azerbaijan and Turkey, the closure of Armenian-Turkish border has not caused the imminent collapse of the Armenian economy. Therefore, the argument that weak economy will force Armenia to abandon its current position on Nagorny Karabakh is misguided. Finally, Oskanian stressed that Nagorny Karabakh has never been, and can never be part of an independent Azerbaijan.

The Armenian Foreign Minister demonstrated complementarity in foreign policymaking when he answered the audience’s questions about the relations between Armenia and the U.S., Iran, and Iraq. While pledging full support for the U.S. war on terrorism and alleging that certain presence of 5000 Mujahedin in Azerbaijan who had fought against Armenians in Nagorny Karabakh is documented, the Minister hailed the Iranian foreign policy in the region as extremely fair and even handed. Maintaining that the Iranian foreign policy has contributed to regional peace and stability, he said that he saw no reason for a change in the current relations between Armenia and Iran, and hoped for a rapprochement between the U.S. and Iran. He pointed out that Armenia is the first to benefit from such a rapprochement and if asked, would mediate between the two countries. When asked why Armenia maintains amicable relations with Iraq, he answered that he had no problems with the term amicable, but emphasized that there is not much economic and commercial ties between Armenia and Iraq at present. Answering a few questions about the Armenian-Turkish relations, he indicated that Armenia seeks normalization of ties with Turkey without preconditions while actively promoting the recognition of 1915 genocide in interstate diplomacy and international organizations. Oskanian also ruled out a unilateral declaration by Armenia on the validity of the 1920 treaty that establishes the current borders between Armenia and Turkey, so long as there is no diplomatic relations between the two sides.